Posted Reuters, Fri Sep 28, 2007, By Chakradhar Adusumilli
The scrap metal industry is riding a wave of consolidation in the wake of limited supply and a sharp spike in iron ore prices, with at least two U.S. companies being touted by analysts as potential takeover targets.
Ferrous scrap, which is also used to make steel, is now becoming an attractive commodity with China, the largest producer of steel, facing a shortage of iron ore supply.
“Scrap suppliers are likely to continue down the consolidation path and companies such as Schnitzer Steel and Metalico remain potential takeover targets,” Eric Glover of Canaccord Adams said by phone.
Both Schnitzer Steel Industries Inc (SCHN.O: Quote, Profile, Research) and Metalico Inc (MEA.A: Quote, Profile, Research) were not available for comments.
Schnitzer Steel’s shares have risen more than 67 percent and Metalico about 70 percent this year.
With few metal recycling companies in the U.S. large enough to meet the demand for scrap, global players are looking to consolidate their businesses in the country.
ALMOST A DEAL A WEEK
Earlier this week, Australia’s Sims Group Ltd (SGM.AX: Quote, Profile, Research), the world’s largest recycler of scrap metal, acquired Metal Management Inc (MM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) in a $1.6 billion deal to strengthen its position in the North American market.
Sims has been on a shopping spree, acquiring stakes in at least three metal recyclers across Europe and the United States so far this year.
The Metal Management deal will boost the combined company’s ferrous throughput to about 9 million long tons/year. This is about a sixth of the total US scrap market of around 65 million lt/year.
Sal Tharani, analyst with Goldman Sachs, said the deal is a positive for the scrap industry, given its fragmented nature.
Tharani said the merger news would benefit scrap processor Schnitzer Steel and, to a lesser extent, Commercial Metals Co. (CMC.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which derives about 20 percent of its revenue from scrap.
In a note to clients, analyst John Rogers of D.A. Davidson & Co. said the Sims acquisition will increase investor interest in Schnitzer. Rogers, who has a “neutral” rating on the stock, raised his price target by $7 to $70.
“Although we do not see Schnitzer as an acquisition target, ongoing industry consolidation may provide additional support for these shares,” Rogers added.
In June, Metalico Inc (MEA.A: Quote, Profile, Research) acquired Tranzact Corp, a recycler of molybdenum, tantalum and tungsten scrap. German metal recycler Interseroh (INSG.DE: Quote, Profile, Research) has also entered into a deal with a U.S.-based company.
It seems like almost every week there is some acquisition usually of private companies because most of the industry is not public, Glover said.
SOARING PRICES
Iron ore prices have risen for five straight years, driven by strong demand from the booming economies of China and India.
Spot prices in China and India have nearly doubled this year.
U.S. spot market prices for ferrous scrap were $327 per gross ton in September 2007, up about 9.3 percent since February, according to metalprices.com.
In the short term, high iron ore prices generally lead to upward pressure on ferrous scrap prices, as the positive economics of using ferrous scrap often lead to increased demand, Glover of Canaccord Adams said.
“On a longer-term basis, sustained high prices for iron ore are likely to make ferrous scrap an increasingly valuable commodity,” Glover added.