Rolled steel is now in serious shortage as steel mills have halted production due to the rocketing ingot steel price.
The rolled steel price has soared to VND14.5mil/ton; however, one still cannot buy 20-30 tons of rolled steel at once, because the product is now in serious shortage.
In fact, the shortage of rolled steel began in early September 2007, and the situation has become worse as most steel mills have halted production or decreased their output.
At this moment, only Hoa Phat and Viet Han products are available on the market, selling at VND12mil/ton. Meanwhile, Thai Nguyen’s and VIS’ brand names seem to have disappeared from the market.
According to Hoang Van Tong, Deputy Director General of Thai Nguyen Cast Iron and Steel Corporation, the corporation has turned off its 700 ton/day production line, waiting for replacement accessories from Italy. The production line will be put back into operation in October. Meanwhile, the production line at Luu Xa mill has the low capacity of 380-400 tons/day, and only laminates steel when very necessary. The ingot steel made by Thai Nguyen Corporation is more suitable for making bar steel than rolled steel.
According to Le Ngoc Son, Deputy Director General of VIS, the market is lacking rolled steel because enterprises do not like making rolled steel due to low profit. While ingot steel for making rolled steel is just VND100,000/ton lower than that for making bar steel, rolled steel is always VND300,000/ton lower than bar steel.
Mr Son said that VIS churns out several hundreds tons of rolled steel only. The figure is just equivalent to the output of a one-day laminating line operation. This explains why VIS’s rolled steel cannot be seen on the market.
Dinh Van Tam, Director of Viet Han Steel Company, also said that his company was not making rolled steel recently due to low profit. The highest output of the company is 5,000 tons, while the lowest is 3,000.
Mr Tam said that no steel mill wanted to make rolled steel nowadays, since local mills found it impossible to compete with China-made rolled steel. Since mid June 2007, China-sourced rolled steel has been imported in large quantities and sold cheap on the domestic market, thus dominating the market.
However, China later decided to place a tax of 10% on export rolled steel, which made China’s rolled steel more expensive. Meanwhile, local steel mills did not make rolled steel, thus causing the shortage of rolled steel as Vietnam is entering the construction season, when the demand for rolled steel increases.
Analysts have also pointed out that the breakdown at the Phu My Steel Company, which has the capacity of 500,000 tons of ingot steel a year, also has led to the rolled steel shortage.
However, Mr Son believes that the shortage of rolled steel will be eased in the time to come when local mills make rolled steel again. The high price of rolled steel makes production profitable, and this will prompt local mills to go back to production. However, he said that the shortage will last one month more as rolled steel cannot be made overnight.
Meanwhile, Nguyen Van Thong, Deputy Director General of Van Loi Company, is not as optimistic as Mr Son. He said that ingot steel for making rolled steel from domestic sources was limited, while local mills still heavily relied on imported ingot steel. The high ingot steel price will make local mills hesitate to import in large quantities, therefore, the rolled steel shortage will continue.
According to Mr Thong, the ingot steel price has soared to $618/ton, and with the price level, finished steel must be sold at over VND11mil/ton to ensure profit for producers. He said that most local mills did not want to make rolled steel due to the very low profit.
Statistics released by the Vietnam Steel Association VSA showed that 5,639 tons of imported rolled steel arrived in Vietnam in the first 15 days of September. The import price was at $557/ton on average, and it was clear that it would be cheaper to import rolled steel if noting that the ingot steel is now at $618/ton. Therefore, local mills still are considering whether to import ingot steel to laminate steel domestically.
The Ministry of Industry and Trade has sent a dispatch to VSA, requesting its members to maintain production to ensure enough steel for the market and avoid steel shortage. It is clear that the ministry fears that the market will be short of steel when the ingot steel price rockets to $605-610/ton.
Pham Chi Cuong, Chairman of VSA, said that the ingot steel in stock was estimated at 290,000 tons, and the finished steel in stocks at 150,000 tons, enough to sell in October and the first half of November. He said that in order to churn out steel for the coming months, local mills would have to import ingot steel in large quantities, estimated at 250-300,000 tons a month.
Posted VietNamNet Bridge, September 10, 2007, Source: VietNamNet, Tuoi tre